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Ligue 1 · Matchday 8Friday 23 October · 19:45 · Stade Francis-Le Blé
Brest14th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Nice8th place
BRE 49%X 27%NIC 24%

What does the market say?

BrestDrawNiceRinvalo49%27%24%
Market43%27%30%

✓ Agree · both back Brest

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Brest score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Nice score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.550%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Brest win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.04X27%3.70224%4.18
Double chance
1X76%1.31X251%1.961273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Brest · Columns: Nice1-2 probability 6.3% · final score

Form

Compare →
BrestLLWDL
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Brest – Nice23 October 20261-2
Nice – Brest1 February 20262-2
Brest – Nice20 September 20254-1
Nice – Brest17 May 20256-0
Brest – Nice2 November 20240-1
Brest – Nice4 February 20240-0