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Ligue 1 · Matchday 28Saturday 17 April · 16:00 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Lyon3rd place
ANG 20%X 25%OL 56%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lyon lead by 202 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lyon 1.8 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lyon 0.4, Angers -0.4.
  • If Angers score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Lyon score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lyon win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%5.01X25%4.07256%1.80
Double chance
1X45%2.25X280%1.251275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Lyon1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →
AngersWLLDL
LyonWLWLW

Head to head

Lyon – Angers1 November 20262-0
Angers – Lyon5 April 20260-0
Lyon – Angers19 September 20251-0
Lyon – Angers17 May 20252-0
Angers – Lyon7 December 20240-3
Angers – Lyon25 February 20231-3