TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 28Saturday 17 April · 16:00 · Stade Océane
Le Havre18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Marseille6th place
HAC 29%X 25%OM 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Marseille lead by 185 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Marseille 2.4 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Marseille score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Marseille win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.46X25%3.97246%2.18
Double chance
1X54%1.85X271%1.411275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.46BTTS yes62%1.63BTTS no39%2.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Havre · Columns: Marseille1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Marseille – Le Havre25 October 20264-3
Le Havre – Marseille10 May 20260-1
Marseille – Le Havre18 October 20256-2
Le Havre – Marseille10 May 20251-3
Marseille – Le Havre5 January 20255-1
Le Havre – Marseille19 May 20241-2