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Ligue 1 · Matchday 28Saturday 17 April · 16:00 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Nice8th place
RCL 61%X 23%NIC 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lens lead by 98 rating points.
  • Lens take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lens 0.2, Nice -0.4.
  • If Lens score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Nice score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.556%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.63X23%4.39216%6.29
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.581277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lens · Columns: Nice2-0 probability 10.7%

Form

Compare →
LensLWWWL
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Nice – Lens2 May 20261-1
Lens – Nice14 December 20252-0
Nice – Lens8 February 20252-0
Lens – Nice28 September 20240-0
Lens – Nice16 March 20241-3
Nice – Lens20 December 20232-0