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Ligue 1 · Matchday 28Saturday 17 April · 16:00 · Stade Louis II
Monaco7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Strasbourg12th place
MON 51%X 26%STR 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Monaco score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.563%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Monaco win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.97X26%3.89224%4.25
Double chance
1X76%1.31X249%2.031274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.563%1.60Under 2.537%2.68BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monaco · Columns: Strasbourg1-1 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Strasbourg – Monaco12 September 20261-1
Strasbourg – Monaco17 May 20265-4
Monaco – Strasbourg31 August 20253-2
Monaco – Strasbourg19 April 20250-0
Strasbourg – Monaco9 November 20241-3
Strasbourg – Monaco10 March 20240-1