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Ligue 1 · Matchday 28Saturday 17 April · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Troyes16th place
REN 68%X 20%ETG 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 215 rating points.
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Troyes score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.9
Over 2.565%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X20%5.04212%8.32
Double chance
1X88%1.14X232%3.141280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.565%1.55Under 2.535%2.82BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Troyes2-0 probability 10.2%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL
TroyesLLLDW

Head to head

Rennes – Troyes14 May 20234-0
Troyes – Rennes4 September 20221-1
Rennes – Troyes20 February 20224-1
Troyes – Rennes31 October 20212-2