TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 28Saturday 17 April · 16:00 · Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Paris FC4th place
TFC 38%X 28%PFC 34%

Prediction

  • If Toulouse score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.548%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Toulouse win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.65X28%3.52234%2.96
Double chance
1X66%1.51X262%1.611272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Toulouse · Columns: Paris FC1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Toulouse – Paris FC21 February 20261-1
Paris FC – Toulouse13 December 20250-3