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Ligue 1 · Matchday 21Saturday 20 February · 16:00 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Paris FC4th place
ANG 20%X 25%PFC 55%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris FC lead by 163 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 1.0, Angers -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Paris FC 1.8 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • If Angers score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Paris FC win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%4.91X25%4.00255%1.83
Double chance
1X45%2.20X280%1.261275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes49%2.02BTTS no51%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Paris FC1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Paris FC – Angers25 January 20260-0
Angers – Paris FC17 August 20251-0