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Ligue 1 · Matchday 21Saturday 20 February · 16:00 · Allianz Riviera
Nice8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Auxerre13th place
NIC 49%X 27%AUX 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Nice 2.4 points per game, Auxerre 1.4.
  • If Nice score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.552%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Nice win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.03X27%3.77224%4.14
Double chance
1X76%1.32X251%1.971273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nice · Columns: Auxerre1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →
NiceWWLWW
AuxerreWLWDL

Head to head

Auxerre – Nice12 September 20261-0
Auxerre – Nice10 May 20262-1
Nice – Auxerre23 August 20253-1
Nice – Auxerre14 March 20251-1
Auxerre – Nice18 August 20242-1
Nice – Auxerre3 March 20231-1