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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 21Saturday 20 February · 16:00 · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Lorient10th place
LIL 50%X 28%LOR 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 91 rating points.
  • If Lille score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Lorient score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.8
Over 2.539%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%1.98X28%3.54221%4.69
Double chance
1X79%1.27X250%2.021272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.539%2.54Under 2.561%1.65BTTS yes44%2.28BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lille · Columns: Lorient1-0 probability 14.0%

Form

Compare →
LilleLWDDW
LorientDLWWD

Head to head

Lille – Lorient8 March 20261-1
Lorient – Lille30 August 20251-7
Lille – Lorient14 January 20243-0
Lorient – Lille27 August 20234-1
Lille – Lorient2 April 20233-1
Lorient – Lille2 October 20222-1