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Ligue 1 · Matchday 21Saturday 20 February · 16:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Marseille6th place
STR 39%X 26%OM 35%

Prediction

  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Marseille score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.7
Over 2.567%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.58X26%3.83235%2.84
Double chance
1X65%1.54X261%1.631274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%3.02BTTS yes68%1.47BTTS no32%3.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Marseille1-1 probability 10.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Marseille – Strasbourg21 August 20264-0
Marseille – Strasbourg14 February 20262-2
Strasbourg – Marseille26 September 20251-2
Marseille – Strasbourg19 January 20251-1
Strasbourg – Marseille29 September 20241-0
Marseille – Strasbourg12 January 20241-1