TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 21Saturday 20 February · 16:00 · Stade Louis II
Monaco7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Le Mans17th place
MON 67%X 20%LMS 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco lead by 163 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Monaco -0.1, Le Mans -0.7.
  • Monaco take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Monaco score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.0
Over 2.565%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.48X20%4.97212%8.05
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%3.071280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.85BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monaco · Columns: Le Mans2-0 probability 10.0%

Form

Compare →
MonacoWDLDL
Le MansWLLDL