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Ligue 1 · Matchday 21Saturday 20 February · 16:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Brest14th place
PSG 75%X 17%BRE 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 237 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Brest 0.8.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Brest score first, they win 29% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.9
Over 2.569%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
175%1.34X17%6.0229%11.61
Double chance
1X91%1.09X225%3.971283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.20BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Brest2-0 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brest – Paris Saint-Germain13 September 20260-1
Paris Saint-Germain – Brest10 May 20261-0
Brest – Paris Saint-Germain25 October 20250-3
Brest – Paris Saint-Germain1 February 20252-5
Paris Saint-Germain – Brest14 September 20243-1
Paris Saint-Germain – Brest28 January 20242-2