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Ligue 1 · Matchday 21Saturday 20 February · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Toulouse12th place
REN 45%X 26%TFC 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Toulouse score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.4
Over 2.560%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.21X26%3.81228%3.52
Double chance
1X72%1.40X255%1.831274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.52BTTS yes62%1.60BTTS no38%2.65

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Toulouse1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Rennes – Toulouse28 February 20261-0
Toulouse – Rennes29 October 20252-2
Toulouse – Rennes3 May 20252-1
Rennes – Toulouse10 November 20240-2
Rennes – Toulouse13 April 20241-2
Toulouse – Rennes17 December 20230-0