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Ligue 1 · Matchday 16Saturday 16 January · 16:00 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
ANG 9%X 16%PSG 75%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 315 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris Saint-Germain 1.0, Angers -0.4.
  • If Angers score first, they win 31% of the time
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 90% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.4
Over 2.559%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
19%10.75X16%6.42275%1.33
Double chance
1X25%4.02X291%1.101284%1.18
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.42BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Paris Saint-Germain0-2 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Angers – Paris Saint-Germain25 April 20260-3
Paris Saint-Germain – Angers22 August 20251-0
Paris Saint-Germain – Angers5 April 20251-0
Angers – Paris Saint-Germain9 November 20242-4
Angers – Paris Saint-Germain21 April 20231-2
Paris Saint-Germain – Angers11 January 20232-0