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Ligue 1 · Matchday 16Saturday 16 January · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Lens9th place
REN 37%X 26%RCL 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lens 0.2, Rennes -0.4.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Lens score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.564%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Lens win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.72X26%3.83237%2.70
Double chance
1X63%1.59X263%1.581274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.564%1.56Under 2.536%2.77BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Lens1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL
LensLWWWL

Head to head

Lens – Rennes7 February 20263-1
Rennes – Lens28 September 20250-0
Lens – Rennes15 March 20251-0
Rennes – Lens21 September 20241-1
Rennes – Lens12 May 20241-1
Lens – Rennes20 August 20231-1