TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 16Saturday 16 January · 16:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Le Mans17th place
STR 63%X 22%LMS 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Strasbourg lead by 125 rating points.
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.1
Over 2.567%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.60X22%4.60216%6.42
Double chance
1X84%1.18X237%2.681278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.567%1.49Under 2.533%3.03BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Le Mans2-1 probability 9.7%

Form

Compare →