TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 16Saturday 16 January · 16:00 · Groupama Stadium
Lyon3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Lorient10th place
OL 52%X 27%LOR 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lyon lead by 89 rating points.
  • Lyon take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Lyon score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Lorient score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Lyon win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X27%3.69221%4.86
Double chance
1X79%1.26X248%2.101273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes48%2.06BTTS no52%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lyon · Columns: Lorient1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
LyonWLWLW
LorientDLWWD

Head to head

Lyon – Lorient12 April 20262-0
Lorient – Lyon7 December 20251-0
Lorient – Lyon9 March 20240-2
Lyon – Lorient8 October 20233-3
Lyon – Lorient5 March 20230-0
Lorient – Lyon7 September 20223-1