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Ligue 1 · Matchday 16Saturday 16 January · 16:00 · Allianz Riviera
Nice8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Le Havre18th place
NIC 50%X 27%HAC 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Nice 2.4 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • Nice lead by 103 rating points.
  • If Nice score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.550%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Nice win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.02X27%3.75224%4.20
Double chance
1X76%1.31X250%1.981273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nice · Columns: Le Havre1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Nice – Le Havre12 April 20261-1
Le Havre – Nice31 August 20253-1
Le Havre – Nice16 February 20251-3
Nice – Le Havre7 December 20242-1
Nice – Le Havre10 May 20241-0
Le Havre – Nice16 December 20233-1