TR
Picks
Ligue 1 · Matchday 14Saturday 12 December · 16:00 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Strasbourg12th place
ANG 28%X 26%STR 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Strasbourg lead by 130 rating points.
  • If Angers score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.6
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.53X26%3.82245%2.20
Double chance
1X55%1.83X272%1.401274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.554%1.87Under 2.547%2.15BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.33

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Strasbourg1-1 probability 12.4%

Head to head

Angers – Strasbourg10 May 20261-1
Strasbourg – Angers5 October 20255-0
Angers – Strasbourg10 May 20252-1
Strasbourg – Angers15 September 20241-1
Strasbourg – Angers18 February 20232-1
Angers – Strasbourg9 October 20222-3