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Ligue 1 · Matchday 14Saturday 12 December · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Monaco7th place
REN 44%X 26%MON 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Monaco score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.5
Over 2.566%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.28X26%3.85230%3.32
Double chance
1X70%1.43X256%1.781274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Under 2.534%2.98BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Monaco1-1 probability 10.1%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL
MonacoWDLDL

Head to head

Monaco – Rennes31 January 20264-0
Rennes – Monaco22 November 20254-1
Monaco – Rennes25 January 20253-2
Rennes – Monaco5 October 20241-2
Monaco – Rennes7 April 20241-0
Rennes – Monaco9 December 20231-2