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Ligue 1 · Matchday 14Saturday 12 December · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Lille2nd place
LOR 30%X 30%LIL 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lille lead by 115 rating points.
  • Lille take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Lorient score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Lille score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.2
Over 2.538%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lille win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.37X30%3.35240%2.47
Double chance
1X60%1.68X270%1.421270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.538%2.64Under 2.562%1.61BTTS yes45%2.21BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Lille1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →
LorientLWWDL
LilleLWDDW

Head to head

Lille – Lorient8 March 20261-1
Lorient – Lille30 August 20251-7
Lille – Lorient14 January 20243-0
Lorient – Lille27 August 20234-1
Lille – Lorient2 April 20233-1
Lorient – Lille2 October 20222-1