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Ligue 1 · Matchday 14Saturday 12 December · 16:00 · Stade Océane
Le Havre18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Le Mans17th place
HAC 51%X 26%LMS 23%

Prediction

  • If Le Havre score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.552%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Le Havre win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.95X26%3.91223%4.30
Double chance
1X77%1.30X249%2.051274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Havre · Columns: Le Mans1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

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