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Ligue 1 · Matchday 14Saturday 12 December · 16:00 · Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Paris FC4th place
PSG 65%X 21%PFC 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead by 152 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Paris FC 1.8.
  • If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.560%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.54X21%4.71214%7.30
Double chance
1X86%1.16X235%2.861279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.50BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris Saint-Germain · Columns: Paris FC2-0 probability 10.7%

Form

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Head to head

Paris FC – Paris Saint-Germain17 May 20262-1
Paris Saint-Germain – Paris FC4 January 20262-1