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Ligue 1 · Matchday 31Saturday 8 May · 16:00 · Stade Raymond Kopa
Angers15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Toulouse11th place
ANG 26%X 27%TFC 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Toulouse lead by 104 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Toulouse 0.5, Angers -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Toulouse 1.6 points per game, Angers 0.8.
  • If Angers score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Toulouse score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.545%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Toulouse win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.92X27%3.71248%2.10
Double chance
1X52%1.91X274%1.341273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Angers · Columns: Toulouse1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Angers – Toulouse8 February 20261-0
Toulouse – Angers23 November 20250-1
Angers – Toulouse2 March 20250-4
Toulouse – Angers20 October 20241-1
Angers – Toulouse12 March 20230-2
Toulouse – Angers16 October 20223-2