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Ligue 1 · Matchday 31Saturday 8 May · 16:00 · Stade du Moustoir
Lorient11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Strasbourg13th place
LOR 41%X 28%STR 31%

Prediction

  • If Lorient score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Lorient win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.45X28%3.56231%3.22
Double chance
1X69%1.45X259%1.691272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lorient · Columns: Strasbourg1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Lorient – Strasbourg26 April 20262-3
Strasbourg – Lorient14 December 20250-0
Strasbourg – Lorient18 February 20241-3
Lorient – Strasbourg17 December 20231-2
Lorient – Strasbourg3 June 20232-1
Strasbourg – Lorient13 November 20221-1