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Ligue 1 · Matchday 31Saturday 8 May · 16:00 · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Troyes16th place
LMS 46%X 27%ETG 27%

Prediction

  • If Le Mans score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Troyes score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Le Mans win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.20X27%3.64227%3.70
Double chance
1X73%1.37X254%1.841273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Mans · Columns: Troyes1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
Le MansWLLDL
TroyesLLLDW

Head to head

Troyes – Le Mans31 October 20262-0