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Ligue 1 · Matchday 31Saturday 8 May · 16:00 · Allianz Riviera
Nice8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Marseille6th place
NIC 34%X 26%OM 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Marseille lead by 82 rating points.
  • If Nice score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Marseille score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Marseille win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.94X26%3.79240%2.53
Double chance
1X60%1.66X266%1.521274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.43BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.63

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nice · Columns: Marseille1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

Compare →
NiceWWLWW

Head to head

Marseille – Nice26 April 20261-1
Nice – Marseille21 November 20251-5
Nice – Marseille26 January 20252-0
Marseille – Nice14 September 20242-0
Marseille – Nice24 April 20242-2
Nice – Marseille21 October 20231-0