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Ligue 1 · Matchday 31Saturday 8 May · 16:00 · Roazhon Park
Rennes5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Le Havre18th place
REN 61%X 23%HAC 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 168 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Rennes 1.2 points per game, Le Havre 0.0.
  • Rennes take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Rennes score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Le Havre score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.1
Over 2.563%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.65X23%4.43217%6.00
Double chance
1X83%1.20X239%2.551277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.71BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rennes · Columns: Le Havre2-1 probability 9.9%

Form

Compare →
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Rennes – Le Havre18 January 20261-1
Le Havre – Rennes5 October 20252-2
Le Havre – Rennes13 April 20251-5
Rennes – Le Havre25 October 20241-0
Le Havre – Rennes11 February 20240-1
Rennes – Le Havre27 August 20232-2