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Premier League · Matchday 36Saturday 15 May · 15:00 · Emirates Stadium
Arsenal1st place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Nottingham Forest19th place
ARS 64%X 23%NFO 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 232 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Arsenal 2.4 points per game, Nottingham Forest 0.2.
  • Arsenal take 2.7 points per game at home.
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.546%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X23%4.35213%7.75
Double chance
1X87%1.15X236%2.791277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes42%2.36BTTS no58%1.74

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Arsenal · Columns: Nottingham Forest1-0 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Nottingham Forest – Arsenal18 October 20260-1
Nottingham Forest – Arsenal17 January 20260-0
Arsenal – Nottingham Forest13 September 20253-0
Nottingham Forest – Arsenal26 February 20250-0
Arsenal – Nottingham Forest23 November 20243-0
Nottingham Forest – Arsenal30 January 20241-2