TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 36Saturday 15 May · 15:00 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Leeds United11th place
MUN 48%X 27%LEE 25%

Prediction

  • If Manchester United score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.548%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Manchester United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.10X27%3.68225%3.98
Double chance
1X75%1.34X252%1.911273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Leeds United1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Leeds United – Manchester United18 October 20261-1
Manchester United – Leeds United13 April 20261-2
Leeds United – Manchester United4 January 20261-1
Leeds United – Manchester United12 February 20230-2
Manchester United – Leeds United8 February 20232-2
Leeds United – Manchester United20 February 20222-4