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Premier League · Matchday 36Saturday 15 May · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Tottenham8th place
COV 28%X 28%TOT 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Tottenham 0.2, Coventry City -0.4.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
Over 2.550%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.62X28%3.60245%2.24
Double chance
1X55%1.81X272%1.381272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

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Head to head

Tottenham – Coventry City19 October 20263-1