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Premier League · Matchday 36Saturday 15 May · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Manchester City2nd place
IPS 11%X 17%MCI 71%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester City lead by 308 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Manchester City 0.6, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Manchester City 1.8 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 32% of the time
  • If Manchester City score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.6
Over 2.569%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%8.77X17%5.77271%1.40
Double chance
1X29%3.48X289%1.131283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.24BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Manchester City0-2 probability 9.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Manchester City – Ipswich Town17 October 20263-2
Ipswich Town – Manchester City19 January 20250-6
Manchester City – Ipswich Town24 August 20244-1