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Premier League · Matchday 36Saturday 15 May · 15:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Brentford6th place
LIV 49%X 27%BRE 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Liverpool 0.5, Brentford -0.1.
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.555%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.04X27%3.76224%4.08
Double chance
1X76%1.32X251%1.961273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.20BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brentford – Liverpool17 October 20261-2
Liverpool – Brentford24 May 20261-1
Brentford – Liverpool25 October 20253-2
Brentford – Liverpool18 January 20250-2
Liverpool – Brentford25 August 20242-0
Brentford – Liverpool17 February 20241-4