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Premier League · Matchday 34Saturday 1 May · 15:00 · Emirates Stadium
Arsenal1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Tottenham8th place
ARS 65%X 22%TOT 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 223 rating points.
  • Arsenal take 2.7 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Arsenal 0.9, Tottenham 0.2.
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.550%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X22%4.48212%8.08
Double chance
1X88%1.14X235%2.881278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes45%2.21BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Arsenal · Columns: Tottenham2-0 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Tottenham – Arsenal22 February 20261-4
Arsenal – Tottenham23 November 20254-1
Arsenal – Tottenham15 January 20252-1
Tottenham – Arsenal15 September 20240-1
Tottenham – Arsenal28 April 20242-3
Arsenal – Tottenham24 September 20232-2