TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 34Saturday 1 May · 15:00 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Everton14th place
FUL 42%X 29%EVE 29%

Prediction

  • If Fulham score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.541%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Fulham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.37X29%3.44229%3.48
Double chance
1X71%1.40X258%1.731271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.541%2.44Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Everton1-1 probability 14.0%
FulhamDLWWD
EvertonDWDLL

Head to head

Fulham – Everton7 February 20261-2
Everton – Fulham8 November 20252-0
Fulham – Everton10 May 20251-3
Everton – Fulham26 October 20241-1
Fulham – Everton30 January 20240-0
Everton – Fulham12 August 20230-1