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Premier League · Matchday 34Saturday 1 May · 15:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Chelsea4th place
LIV 48%X 27%CHE 25%

Prediction

  • If Liverpool score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Chelsea score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X27%3.76225%4.00
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.941273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.51

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Chelsea1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Liverpool – Chelsea9 May 20261-1
Chelsea – Liverpool4 October 20252-1
Chelsea – Liverpool4 May 20253-1
Liverpool – Chelsea20 October 20242-1
Liverpool – Chelsea31 January 20244-1
Chelsea – Liverpool13 August 20231-1