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Premier League · Matchday 34Saturday 1 May · 15:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Bournemouth8th place
HUL 21%X 26%BOU 53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 116 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Bournemouth 1.8 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bournemouth 0.5, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.6
Over 2.548%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.80X26%3.89253%1.87
Double chance
1X47%2.15X279%1.261274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bournemouth – Hull City22 January 20220-1
Hull City – Bournemouth28 August 20210-0