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Premier League · Matchday 34Saturday 1 May · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Leeds United12th place
IPS 25%X 26%LEE 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Leeds United lead by 125 rating points.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.7
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.95X26%3.83249%2.06
Double chance
1X51%1.94X275%1.341274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Leeds United1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Leeds United – Ipswich Town23 December 20234-0
Ipswich Town – Leeds United26 August 20233-4