TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 34Saturday 1 May · 15:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Manchester United17th place
COV 23%X 25%MUN 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester United lead by 97 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Manchester United 0.1, Coventry City -0.4.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.555%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Manchester United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.29X25%3.95251%1.95
Double chance
1X49%2.06X277%1.301275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes56%1.77BTTS no44%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Manchester United1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →