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Serie A · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 17:30 · New Balance Arena
Atalanta13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Juventus7th place
ATA 26%X 27%JUV 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Atalanta -0.5.
  • Juventus take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.82X27%3.66246%2.15
Double chance
1X54%1.87X274%1.361273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Atalanta · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Juventus – Atalanta20 September 20262-0
Atalanta – Juventus11 April 20260-1
Juventus – Atalanta27 September 20251-1
Juventus – Atalanta9 March 20250-4
Atalanta – Juventus14 January 20251-1
Juventus – Atalanta10 March 20242-2