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Picks
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Serie A · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Cagliari12th place
LEC 36%X 29%CAG 35%

Prediction

  • If Lecce score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Lecce win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.81X29%3.44235%2.83
Double chance
1X65%1.55X264%1.551271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.541%2.42Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Cagliari1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Cagliari – Lecce7 September 20261-0
Cagliari – Lecce16 February 20260-2
Lecce – Cagliari19 September 20251-2
Cagliari – Lecce19 January 20254-1
Lecce – Cagliari31 August 20241-0
Cagliari – Lecce5 May 20241-1