TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Parma18th place
TOR 48%X 29%PAR 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Torino lead by 67 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Torino 1.8 points per game, Parma 0.8.
  • If Torino score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.540%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.09X29%3.48223%4.27
Double chance
1X77%1.31X252%1.921271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.540%2.53Under 2.560%1.66BTTS yes45%2.23BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Parma1-1 probability 13.6%
TorinoWWWLL
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Parma – Torino19 October 20260-3
Torino – Parma13 March 20264-1
Parma – Torino29 September 20252-1
Parma – Torino8 March 20252-2
Torino – Parma5 January 20250-0