TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 17:30 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Fiorentina17th place
BOL 51%X 27%FIO 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Bologna 2.4 points per game, Fiorentina 0.4.
  • Bologna lead by 91 rating points.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.548%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.95X27%3.72222%4.60
Double chance
1X78%1.28X249%2.061273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Fiorentina1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bologna – Fiorentina18 January 20261-2
Fiorentina – Bologna26 October 20252-2
Fiorentina – Bologna18 May 20253-2
Bologna – Fiorentina15 December 20241-0
Bologna – Fiorentina14 February 20242-0
Fiorentina – Bologna12 November 20232-1