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Serie A · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 17:30 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Frosinone6th place
SAS 43%X 25%FRO 33%

Prediction

  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.7
Over 2.570%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sassuolo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.35X25%4.03233%3.06
Double chance
1X67%1.49X257%1.741275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.570%1.43Under 2.530%3.35BTTS yes70%1.42BTTS no30%3.37

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sassuolo · Columns: Frosinone1-1 probability 9.3%

Form

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Head to head

Frosinone – Sassuolo16 October 20264-2
Sassuolo – Frosinone9 March 20241-0
Frosinone – Sassuolo17 September 20234-2