TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Genoa11th place
UDI 36%X 29%GEN 35%

Prediction

  • If Udinese score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Genoa score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Udinese win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.76X29%3.45235%2.87
Double chance
1X65%1.53X264%1.571271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.28Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Genoa1-1 probability 13.9%
UdineseLLLDL
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Udinese20 March 20260-2
Udinese – Genoa8 December 20251-2
Genoa – Udinese4 April 20251-0
Udinese – Genoa1 December 20240-2
Genoa – Udinese24 February 20242-0
Udinese – Genoa1 October 20232-2