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La Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · San Mamés Barria
Athletic Bilbao7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Levante18th place
ATH 57%X 24%LEV 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Athletic Bilbao 0.4, Levante -0.5.
  • If Athletic Bilbao score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Levante score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.553%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Athletic Bilbao win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.74X24%4.14218%5.43
Double chance
1X82%1.23X243%2.351276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.553%1.89Under 2.547%2.12BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Athletic Bilbao · Columns: Levante1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Levante – Athletic Bilbao21 October 20263-1
Athletic Bilbao – Levante8 February 20264-2
Levante – Athletic Bilbao29 November 20250-2
Athletic Bilbao – Levante7 March 20223-1
Levante – Athletic Bilbao19 November 20210-0