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La Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Celta Vigo9th place
RAC 30%X 26%CEL 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Celta Vigo lead by 84 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Celta Vigo -0.3, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Celta Vigo 1.6 points per game, Racing Santander 0.8.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.560%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.37X26%3.83244%2.26
Double chance
1X56%1.79X270%1.421274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.49BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.64

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Celta Vigo1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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Head to head

Celta Vigo – Racing Santander19 September 20265-0