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La Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Villarreal9th place
ESP 26%X 27%VIL 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Villarreal lead by 101 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Espanyol -0.5.
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.79X27%3.66246%2.16
Double chance
1X54%1.86X274%1.361273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Espanyol · Columns: Villarreal1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Villarreal – Espanyol30 October 20260-1
Villarreal – Espanyol9 February 20264-1
Espanyol – Villarreal8 November 20250-2
Villarreal – Espanyol27 April 20251-0
Espanyol – Villarreal26 September 20241-2
Villarreal – Espanyol27 April 20234-2