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La Liga · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Sevilla6th place
VAL 41%X 30%SEV 30%

Prediction

  • If Valencia score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Valencia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.45X30%3.38230%3.37
Double chance
1X70%1.42X259%1.691270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.80BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Sevilla1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →
SevillaLDLWL

Head to head

Sevilla – Valencia11 September 20261-0
Sevilla – Valencia21 March 20260-2
Valencia – Sevilla7 December 20251-1
Valencia – Sevilla11 April 20251-0
Sevilla – Valencia11 January 20251-1
Valencia – Sevilla17 February 20240-0